How The Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession For The Past 50 Years

1402783
1294
18044
01.12.2019
CNBC

CNBC

1455286165
3240000
15132
17.06.2006
Описание видео:

The yield curve was once just a wonky graph for academics and policymakers. But in recent years it has become a way to forecast looming recessions. The curve has helped predict every recession over the past 50 years. That means the curve accurately predicted even largely unforeseen downturns like the dot-com bubble of 2001 and the Great Recession in 2007. As a result, news of yield curve inversions can now send markets tumbling. Policymakers keep a close eye on even small changes in the curve’s composition. So how did this simple graph showing U.S. Treasury bond interest rates grow into one of the most reliable recession indicators we have? And what does a yield curve inversion really mean? » Subscribe to CNBC: 🤍cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBC » Subscribe to CNBC TV: 🤍cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCtelevision » Subscribe to CNBC Classic: 🤍cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCclassic About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclusive video and more. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: 🤍🤍cnbc.com/ Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: 🤍cnb.cx/LinkedInCNBC Follow CNBC News on Facebook: 🤍cnb.cx/LikeCNBC Follow CNBC News on Twitter: 🤍cnb.cx/FollowCNBC Follow CNBC News on Instagram: 🤍cnb.cx/InstagramCNBC #CNBC How The Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession For The Past 50 Years

Кадры из видео
How The Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession For The Past 50 Years
How The Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession For The Past 50 Years
How The Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession For The Past 50 Years
How The Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession For The Past 50 Years
Тэги из видео
Комментарии пользователей:
@user-fx8wq5ib3z
2023-10-29 17:17:14

I did a mistakes many times, but after your videos I really start to understand how it works

@williamyejun8508
2023-10-19 13:27:30

Things are strange right now. The US dollar is becoming less valuable because of inflation, but it's getting stronger compared to other currencies and things like gold and property. People are turning to the dollar because they think it's safer. I'm worried about my retirement savings of about $420,000 losing value because of high inflation. Where else can we keep our money?

@napoleon3026
2023-10-18 05:53:20

All these bots and spam comments about xyz with 5-10 years of experience really irritates me.

@user-hn4et8gp4o
2023-10-15 00:50:39

this strange financial magic really works I love it so far🍇

@user-jh1fk2tz1j
2023-10-12 21:16:07

this is insane... I don't know how are you doing it, but I want to try it too)

@user-yt1lc5cz4o
2023-10-12 10:05:29

what a strange way to make money, but sheesh, it works

@CasparOgden
2023-10-10 10:10:53

With all of the current events, what is the best approach to profit from the present market? I'm still debating diversifying my $400k stock portfolio to obtain some profits while minimizing risk.

@vyacheslavmorozov3314
2023-10-10 08:14:21

This is the best way to boost your income and find new source of money making

@geraldt331
2023-10-09 19:29:49

Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $400k portfoIio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my ROI before retirement will be highly appreciated.

@user-tz8xc8bm1j
2023-10-09 05:27:41

thank's God... Finally I can earn an additional money

@hanifrivera8513
2023-10-03 12:33:25

Very useful video with great advices! I'll be using it in my everyday work

@hashemjavadian9213
2023-10-03 11:58:12

your videos about trading good as always, but can you make more of them?

@user-sw6nz5rb9b
2023-10-02 15:38:00

Unlocking the predictive power of the yield curve: Analyzing its role in forecasting recessions. Delve into the evolution of this once academic graph, now a crucial tool in foreseeing economic downturns over the past 50 years. Learn how even the smallest changes in the curve's composition are now closely monitored by policymakers and have the potential to significantly impact markets.

@bsetdays6784
2023-09-28 03:43:59

We all know that prices of almost everything aren’t coming down. Simply put, they're rising less. Costs are rising due to rising inflation. As we are evidently at the verge of hyperinflation, with the less haves bearing the brunt of the burden. I'm more concerned that the rising inflation may lead my entire $990k retirement funds to lose value. Where else could we put our cash?

@fridgethrower5930
2023-09-27 00:42:34

Prominent market analysts have been articulating their assessments regarding the potential severity of the impending economic downturn, juxtaposed with the persistent elevation of inflation beyond the Federal Reserve's established 2% benchmark. In pursuit of my goal to cultivate a portfolio with a minimum valuation of $850,000 by the time I reach the age of 60, I cordially seek informed recommendations with regard to prudent investment choices. Your insights and expertise in this matter would be greatly appreciated.

@Planetoftrumps
2023-09-23 23:02:54

When it comes to making smart investments, keeping an eye on the yield curve can be helpful. If the yield curve starts to invert, it may be a good idea to consider adjusting your investment strategy. it's just one piece of the puzzle, but it can provide insight into the overall economic climate. I have poured about $80k into the market holding good positions.

@jessicamoore3093
2023-09-13 16:11:24

In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments.

@CatherineWilson8
2023-09-11 20:17:26

Several of the biggest market experts have been voicing their opinions on exactly how awful they think the next downturn would be, and how far equities may have to go, as recession draws closer and inflation continues well above the Fed's 2% objective. I'm trying to build a portfolio of at least $850k by the time I'm 60, therefore I need suggestions on what investments to make.

@aroundandround
2023-09-11 03:02:20

A yield curve inversion just means the market expects interest rates to go down in the next few years, so there isn’t a fundamental reason why there should be a recession within the next 18 months as is often cited. A soft landing can change that expectation.

Что ищут прямо сейчас
ice scream 5 阿妮 гайд на яо яо chasing dory combo Пожар gió jank squid samp yuzu vulkan jzx xorazm uy joy narxlari new dawn 郑义 rdr 1 켜놩 couple dance iqos и вейп разница linux umask command facebook reels video viral korben kivabe aughhhh nidarr 1 mh one
Похожие видео